Investment Thesis

THE “RISING TIDE FLOATS ALL BOATS” SCENARIO

The current credit market dislocation has eroded value in real assets across all asset classes principally due to the fact that the structured debt and hybrid products available then were the primary driver of values

The secondary mortgage market facilitated mortgage originations with investors who purchased yields as investments

Residential mortgages were originated in the primary market as home buyers obtained loans from banks, Federal Credit Union’s or other financial institutions to include insurance companies

Most lenders after closing “pooled” the loans they originated and sold these pools in the secondary mortgage market in order to recapture their funds to relend them out again, starting the process over. This was very profitable to these entities as they charged large fees that generated additional income.
Traditional types of mortgage loans, fixed and adjustable rate mortgages, were sold to investors until the supply of loans decreased, inducing the imbalance in the market; under supply and over demand for paper

Because of this demand, pressure was placed on Wall Street to increase supply, and the lending industry responded by expanding the rules to include what was traditionally non-qualifying borrowers.

From this pressure, the subprime market was created to include exotic and hybrid loans such as negative amortized, stated income and stated asset non-conforming loans.

These too were pooled and sold to investors such as pension funds eager for more product and greater yields, which were then repackaged and resold as mortgage backed securities (MBS) to larger institutions

CONSEQUENCES AND PRIMARY DRIVERS FOR ASSET DISTRESS

Overleveraged homes where the asset value is less than the mortgage owed

Credit markets continue to remain dysfunctional, causing the real estate market to remain depressed

Economic downturn in the U.S. is forcing pay cuts and unprecedented increases in unemployment

Lenders have many toxic assets on their books, forcing many banks into insolvency, bankruptcy and eventual governmental FDIC takeover

AN ILLUSTRATIVE EXAMPLE
OF CHANGES IN THE RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE STRUCTURE

Old Mortgage Structure

80%

1st Lien

20%

2nd Lien

100% CLTV Financing
1st Lien
Loan Types:

30 yr fixed

30 yr arm

30 year i/o

30 yr SISA

30 yr NINA

30 yr negative am

2nd Lien
Loan Types:

15 yr fixed

1.5-5.0% higher than 1st

15/30 yr HELOC

TYPICAL RATES:

.625-1.125% higher than 1st

New Mortgage Structure

80%

1st Lien

20%

Borrower
Down
Payment

100% CLTV Financing
1st Lien
Loan Types:

30 yr fixed

30 yr arm

30 year i/o

2nd Lien
Loan Types:

80% CLTV FINANCING

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